California Horse 'n Home

April 12th, 2011 10:48 AM


FIRST QUARTER 2011 SALES STATS & MORE
January 1, 2011 through March 31, 2011

      Below you will find the sales statistics for the first quarter of 2011 covering the Lake Mathews, Gavilan Hills and Gavilan Springs neighborhoods. The statistics are gathered from the MRMLS and deemed to be reasonably reliable.
      Information coverage is comprised of the following Thomas Bros. Map Guide pages: 775 south of Cajalco Rd., all of 805 and properties west of Juniper Rd. on page 806 (properties in the mobile home community along Gavilan Rd. are excluded).

      Interpretation of statistics is far from an exact science as some would like us to believe. There are people that work with statistics that might have a tendency to 'throw out' a sale that was very low but retain one that was very high. It can make the market look stronger than it actually is. Here, I assure you, the numbers (all the numbers) are what you get. Although I like to add my $.02 about what they mean to me, it's mostly up to you to form your own opinion.         So, let's have some fun...

Statistical Reality of 1st Qtr. - 2011

DESCRIPTION

2010

2011

% CHANGE

CLOSED SALES

9

12

+25%

   *REO SALES

7

3

-57%

   *SHORT PAY

1

2

N/A

    *STD (owner)

1

7

BIG

TOTAL VOLUME $

 $2,999,600

 $3,831,350

+28%

MAX. SALE PRICE

$650,000

$510,000

-22%

AVG. SALE PRICE

$333,289

319,280

-4%

    The good news we're finding here is the *REO and *SPAY sales aren't dominating the market and we had a huge increase in CLOSED and *STANDARD sales, which is always a good sign. On the flip side of that is the lower maximum and average sale price amounts which shows we're still 'adjusting' down. I've added the MAX. SALE PRICE information to point out that agents must be honest with potential sellers and set realistic prices. 

PENDING SALES

      I haven't included 'pending' sales information before but thought the information to be worthy of a look-see. REO and SPAY sales dominate: REO = 3; SPAY = 3; STD = 1. Maximum sales price = $450k with an average of only $283,000 on a total volume of $1,980,700.00.  

ACTIVE LISTINGS IN OUR NEIGHBORHOOD
Current listings as of April 12, 2011

     Currently there are 22 active listings.  REO = 4, SPAY = 6, STD = 12. Minimum listing price is $249,000.00 with a maximum of $950,000.00 (over priced by $250k+) and an average of $419,700.00. The good side is we have twice as many standard sale listings as REO's and SPAY's combined. 
     As an agent that specializes in Lake Mathews, Gavilan Hills and Gavilan Springs properties, I have a positive feeling, as a whole, about our market (with the exception of overpriced listings). The movement is toward REALTY REALITY for both buyer and seller, and most good agents.

     So, there we have it - the STATISCAL FACTS for our neighborhood covering the 1st quarter of 2011. It's still a bit, "down and dirty" but I believe there is less "read 'em and weep" in the numbers.

     As you know, I can't leave without a great story and this is one of the best: http://www.hintsandthings.com/nursery/story.htm.

     We're going to take a look at "land" in our next installment. Stay tuned.


Mary Jo Placka
951-707-7832  cell        951-780-0856  home
License #01707120
Land of the Hawk Realty
17679 Cajalco Road, Lake Mathews, CA 92570
(next to Lake Mathews Feed, across from the Fire Station)
951-940-9401
 


Posted by Mary Jo Placka on April 12th, 2011 10:48 AMPost a Comment (0)

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